Framework

We model markets through growth and inflation regimes, then build a risk-balanced portfolio across assets with different macro sensitivities.

  1. Read macro cycle: growth, inflation, policy, and debt/liquidity context.
  2. Map current regime into 4-quadrant matrix.
  3. Tilt portfolio by regime while preserving diversification.
  4. Rebalance by risk limits, not by headline emotions.
Method inspired by Bridgewater public research and Dalio economic principles. See source links below.

Scenario Inputs

Live status: not loaded

Live Macro Monitor

Signal Latest Date Direction

Regime Matrix

Rising Growth / Rising Inflation
Rising Growth / Falling Inflation
Falling Growth / Rising Inflation
Falling Growth / Falling Inflation

Current regime: Neutral baseline

Suggested Allocation

Bucket ETF Proxy Weight

Portfolio Risk Snapshot

Expected Return0%
Expected Volatility0%
Stress Drawdown (Model)0%

Simple educational model. Real execution requires live data, transaction costs, taxes, and risk controls.

Trading Playbook

Research Sources